Track record — every call, graded in public
The terminal makes three kinds of market call — each with a fixed, published, mechanical rule — and grades every one against what actually happened next. Wins and misses both stay on this ledger, permanently. Tracking since 2026-09-27. This is a young record (~60 cycles); it deepens with real time and is never back-dated.
| Called | Type | Market / Operator | Baseline → entry | After | Outcome | What followed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | RISK WARNING | ⚠ Bet365 | 3.0 → 9 | 10.0 | PENDING | risk score averaged 10.0 vs 3.0 at entry |
| 2026-10-14 | RISK WARNING | ⚠ FanDuel | 4.0 → 7 | 7.0 | CONFIRMED ✓ | risk score averaged 7.0 vs 4.0 at entry |
| 2026-10-13 | OPPORTUNITY | 🇳🇿 New Zealand | 66 → 83 | 76.7 | HELD ✓ | opportunity score averaged 76.7 vs 66 at entry |
| 2026-10-07 | HEAT SURGE | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | 80.2 → 96.8 | 94.3 | HELD ✓ | followed by 32 risk, 8 hiring, 10 program signals |
| 2026-10-03 | RISK WARNING | ⚠ FanDuel | 3.0 → 6 | 6.5 | CONFIRMED ✓ | risk score averaged 6.5 vs 3.0 at entry |
| 2026-10-02 | RISK WARNING | ⚠ DraftKings | 3.0 → 9 | 14.5 | CONFIRMED ✓ | risk score averaged 14.5 vs 3.0 at entry |
| 2026-09-28 | HEAT SURGE | 🇧🇷 Brazil | 71.1 → 93.9 | 100.0 | HELD ✓ | followed by 17 risk signals |
The three call types — and exactly how each is graded
All of this runs automatically every cycle. No call is ever added, edited, or removed by hand, and no threshold is ever loosened to manufacture more calls. Each type has its own fixed rule:
1 · Heat Surge
GRADE = mean heat over the next 6 cycles: HELD ≥ baseline+10 · FADED < baseline+5 · else MIXED
2 · Opportunity Entry
GRADE = mean opportunity score over the next 6 cycles: HELD ≥ 60 (still Heating+) · FADED < 45 (below Watch) · else MIXED
3 · Risk Warning
GRADE = mean risk over the next 6 cycles: CONFIRMED ≥ baseline+2 (risk stayed elevated) · FALSE ALARM < baseline+1 (faded) · else MIXED
PENDING (any type) = fewer than 4 of the 6 grade cycles have been recorded yet. Edge = how far past its own baseline a call's outcome sustained, in points, averaged across held calls. Calls dated before verdict storage existed are labelled reconstructed — derived after the fact, but only from values that were genuinely recorded at the time. Newer calls are recorded live.
What this is — and isn't
A held/confirmed call means market attention and business signal moved as flagged — useful timing intelligence for operators, affiliates and B2B teams. A Risk Warning grades whether the warning proved correct (risk kept rising), never whether anyone avoided a loss. None of this is a prediction of gambling outcomes, betting advice, or legal/licensing advice — always verify regulatory status with the jurisdiction's regulator. 18+.