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← Terminal / Track Record

Track record — every call, graded in public

The terminal makes three kinds of market call — each with a fixed, published, mechanical rule — and grades every one against what actually happened next. Wins and misses both stay on this ledger, permanently. Tracking since 2026-09-27. This is a young record (~60 cycles); it deepens with real time and is never back-dated.

100%
overall hit rate
6
calls graded
+11.9
avg edge (pts)
1
still pending
60
cycles recorded
Heat Surge
100% held
2✓ · 0✗ · 0~ · 0 pending · 2 total
Opportunity Entry
100% held
1✓ · 0✗ · 0~ · 0 pending · 1 total
Risk Warning
100% held
3✓ · 0✗ · 0~ · 1 pending · 4 total
BEST CALL 🇧🇷 Brazil · Heat Surge · sustained +28.9 pts above its baseline over 6 cycles
CalledTypeMarket / OperatorBaseline → entryAfterOutcomeWhat followed
2026-10-15 RISK WARNING ⚠ Bet365 3.0 → 9 10.0 PENDING risk score averaged 10.0 vs 3.0 at entry
2026-10-14 RISK WARNING ⚠ FanDuel 4.0 → 7 7.0 CONFIRMED ✓ risk score averaged 7.0 vs 4.0 at entry
2026-10-13 OPPORTUNITY 🇳🇿 New Zealand 66 → 83 76.7 HELD ✓ opportunity score averaged 76.7 vs 66 at entry
2026-10-07 HEAT SURGE 🇬🇧 United Kingdom 80.2 → 96.8 94.3 HELD ✓ followed by 32 risk, 8 hiring, 10 program signals
2026-10-03 RISK WARNING ⚠ FanDuel 3.0 → 6 6.5 CONFIRMED ✓ risk score averaged 6.5 vs 3.0 at entry
2026-10-02 RISK WARNING ⚠ DraftKings 3.0 → 9 14.5 CONFIRMED ✓ risk score averaged 14.5 vs 3.0 at entry
2026-09-28 HEAT SURGE 🇧🇷 Brazil 71.1 → 93.9 100.0 HELD ✓ followed by 17 risk signals

The three call types — and exactly how each is graded

All of this runs automatically every cycle. No call is ever added, edited, or removed by hand, and no threshold is ever loosened to manufacture more calls. Each type has its own fixed rule:

1 · Heat Surge

CALL = a GEO's 0–100 heat ≥ its own 3-cycle baseline + 15, held 2 cycles (min heat 25)
GRADE = mean heat over the next 6 cycles: HELD ≥ baseline+10 · FADED < baseline+5 · else MIXED

2 · Opportunity Entry

CALL = a GEO's Affiliate Opportunity Index crosses INTO a Prime Window (≥ 75) from below, holding ≥ 70 for 2 cycles
GRADE = mean opportunity score over the next 6 cycles: HELD ≥ 60 (still Heating+) · FADED < 45 (below Watch) · else MIXED

3 · Risk Warning

CALL = an operator's severity-weighted risk score rises ≥ its own baseline + max(3, ½×baseline), held 2 cycles (min 4)
GRADE = mean risk over the next 6 cycles: CONFIRMED ≥ baseline+2 (risk stayed elevated) · FALSE ALARM < baseline+1 (faded) · else MIXED

PENDING (any type) = fewer than 4 of the 6 grade cycles have been recorded yet. Edge = how far past its own baseline a call's outcome sustained, in points, averaged across held calls. Calls dated before verdict storage existed are labelled reconstructed — derived after the fact, but only from values that were genuinely recorded at the time. Newer calls are recorded live.

What this is — and isn't

A held/confirmed call means market attention and business signal moved as flagged — useful timing intelligence for operators, affiliates and B2B teams. A Risk Warning grades whether the warning proved correct (risk kept rising), never whether anyone avoided a loss. None of this is a prediction of gambling outcomes, betting advice, or legal/licensing advice — always verify regulatory status with the jurisdiction's regulator. 18+.